Anthropic published report about AI replacing jobs.

Anthropic just published one of the most honest reports I've seen from an AI company — about AI replacing jobs.

And they're the ones building the models responsible for it.

Here's what the data actually says:

The most at-risk workers aren't who you'd expect. Female. White. College-educated. Higher-paid. Older. The same demographic that "did everything right."

The jobs most exposed to AI? → Computer programmers (74.5% observed exposure) → Customer service reps (70.1%) → Data entry, medical records, financial analysts

But here's the part nobody's talking about:

High-risk companies aren't firing people. They've stopped hiring.

Entry-level hiring has dropped 14% since ChatGPT launched — concentrated in the highest-risk roles. College graduates are 4x more likely to feel this.

The pipeline is drying up quietly.

The safest jobs? Bartenders. Dishwashers. Lifeguards. Manual labor that AI still can't touch — roughly 30% of the job market.

Now the part that actually kept me up:

AI models are already capable of automating most of this work today.

What's stopping them? Law. Slow company adoption. Not capability.

This isn't a skill gap. It's an adoption curve.

And when adoption catches up to capability — which it will — the change will feel sudden even though it was always coming.

I'll give Anthropic credit for publishing this transparently. It takes guts to fund research that implicates your own product.

Studies like this are how we stop guessing and start preparing.

There's a lot of change coming in 2025 and 2026. The question isn't whether AI will reshape the workforce — it's whether we'll be ready when it does.

What's your read on this?